What happens to grandpa during the championship hunt?
College Football Playoff 2022: Potential Disaster Scenarios for Top 4 Teams
- Georgia (10-0)
- Alabama (9-1)
- Oregon (9-1)
- Ohio State (9-1)
Vasha Hunt/Associated Press
The College Football Playoff released its weekly rankings heading into Week 12, and one time once again we have a clearer moving picture of who might arrive into the final four come Dec. Here's a look at the Top 4, as of Nov. 16:
As we enter Calendar week 12 of the flavor, at that place may non be as many games left to be played, but there are plenty of upsets that tin still have identify. The biggest thing to keep in mind is that no two-loss squad has e'er made information technology into the playoff.
We currently have three 1-loss teams inside the pinnacle four, so there's a skillful chance that some of these teams may get knocked out if they lose once more. Let'southward run through the potential disaster scenarios for each of the 4 teams currently in the top 4 to meet what would have to happen for them to miss out on the playoff this season.
No. 1 Georgia: Lose to Georgia Tech and Lose in the SEC Championship Game
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Let me preface this past saying that this is incredibly unlikely to happen. The Bulldogs, led by the nation'south No. i scoring defense, have been completely dominant all season. They haven't been shut to beingness upset, and the well-nigh points they've given upwards were in last calendar week's 41-17 win over Tennessee. Merely since we're looking at the potential disaster scenarios for all the Top Four teams, we have to include No. ane Georgia here.
To miss the playoff, Georgia would likely have to lose twice. Georgia plays iv-5 Charleston Southern this week at home, so the Bulldogs won't take any issues there.
But if disaster were to fall upon the Bulldogs, information technology would presumably take to come up against in-state rival Georgia Tech and the post-obit week in the SEC Championship Game. As I said before, this is highly unlikely. Georgia has defeated GT in each of its last iii meetings by an average of 33 points, and the Yellow Jackets are iii-seven on the flavor. If Georgia Tech were to somehow upset the Bulldogs at domicile, that would surely knock Georgia out of the summit spot, but it wouldn't ruin its chances at the playoff entirely.
That would have to come the following week against the SEC West winner in the SEC Championship Game. It looks like Georgia will face No. 2 Alabama in Atlanta on Dec. 4 (bold Bama defeats both Arkansas and Auburn to close out the regular season). Georgia hasn't defeated Alabama since 2007 when Nick Saban was in his first flavour in Tuscaloosa.
If Georgia loses to both GT and Alabama, the Bulldogs would exist xi-ii and not a briefing champion. That would exist enough for the commission to keep Georgia out. But if Georgia is undefeated after the regular flavor and and then loses to Alabama in Atlanta, that likely won't be enough to go on the Dawgs out of the playoff.
No. ii Alabama: Lose to Arkansas or Auburn, or Lose in the SEC Title Game
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The practiced news for the Blood-red Tide, despite their loss to No. 16 Texas A&G before this season, is that they control their SEC West destiny. Thanks to Texas A&M losing to Ole Miss and Auburn losing to Mississippi State, Alabama tin can clinch the West with a win over Arkansas at home this Saturday.
The bad news for the Tide is that since they already accept one loss, 1 more defeat would probable knock them out of the playoff entirely. If Alabama were to lose to either Arkansas or Auburn, the Tide would still go to Atlanta to play for the SEC title thanks to their win over Ole Miss on Oct. ii.
Even with a victory over Georgia that would give Bama the SEC title, a two-loss conference champion has never made it into the playoff. The commission would near likely still give a one-loss Georgia team a spot, too as presumably undefeated Cincinnati (or another one-loss conference champion) instead of Bama.
The same holds true if Alabama finishes 11-2 with a close loss to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game. As a two-loss team without a conference title, Alabama likely wouldn't become a spot when you will likely have an undefeated Cincinnati, a ane-loss Oregon Pac-12 champion and a i-loss Big Ten champion like Ohio State.
Yes, Alabama's loss to Texas A&Thousand was a close one on the road, and the Tide can even so win the conference. But if Bama loses over again either in the regular season or to Georgia, the Tide's chances at getting a seventh playoff appearance would be low.
No. 3 Oregon: Lose to Utah or Oregon State, or in the Pac-12 Championship Game
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Similar to Alabama, Oregon can't afford to lose another game this flavour. Despite Oregon'due south loss to an unranked, beneath .500 Stanford team on Oct. 2, the Ducks are No. three in the playoff rankings. A big reason for that is Oregon'due south Calendar week ii victory over Ohio State on the road, which gave the Buckeyes their first home loss since 2017. Ohio State being ranked inside the Top iv means the commission thinks pretty highly of the Buckeyes, besides.
But Oregon can't afford to lose another game this season if it is to make the playoff for the first time since 2014. This week, the Ducks have a big test alee of them, facing No. 23 Utah on the road on Saturday nighttime. The Utes are 7-iii on the flavor and are first in the Pac-12 S.
Not to mention Utah defeated the same Stanford team that upset the Ducks 52-7. Utah is also undefeated at habitation this season, which helps explicate why it is a three-point favorite. A loss this week vs. the Utes would certainly knock Oregon out of the Top Four.
But Utah isn't the only hurdle that might stand in the way of the Ducks' playoff hopes. During Rivalry Week, Oregon will face Oregon Land at home. The Beavers have made quite the turnaround this season.Oregon State is bowl-eligible for the first time since 2013, non to mention thatOregon State defeated the Ducks 41-38 terminal flavor.
And fifty-fifty if the Ducks get a win on the road over Utah this calendar week, it might non exist the terminal fourth dimension Oregon has to play Utah. The Utes can clinch the Pac-12 South with a win over Colorado on Nov. 26. With Oregon offset in the Pac-12 North, the Ducks winning the division would hateful it would likely face Utah in the Pac-12 Championship Game in Las Vegas.
Beating the Utes twice would be a tall chore for Oregon. If the Ducks defeat Utah on Saturday but lose to it in the Pac-12 title game, they would be eliminated from the playoff.
No. 4 Ohio Country: Lose to Michigan Country or Michigan, or in the B1G Title
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The Buckeyes have set themselves upward nicely for the playoff this season, even with the loss to Oregon. Ohio State is 9-one on the twelvemonth and sitting atop the Big Ten East standings. However, the Buckeyes need to defeat both Michigan State and Michigan to win the division title.
Information technology gets way trickier if OSU drops ane of those games. That would give the Bucks two losses and probable would toll them a playoff spot. Let'south outset with this Saturday'south monster matchup between Ohio State and MSU.
If Ohio State defeats Michigan Land, information technology will move to eight-0 in the Eastward standings, with only Michigan standing in its style on Nov. 27. If Michigan State wins, it would be tied atop the division with Ohio State, but the win over Michigan on October. 30, along with a win over Penn State on Nov. 27, would send Sparty to Indianapolis. Ohio Land could besides actually clinch the division with a win over Michigan State and a Michigan loss at Maryland.
Now, allow'southward say Ohio State is able to vanquish both Michigan State and Michigan to close out its regular season sitting at eleven-i. The Buckeyes withal have to face the winner of the Big 10 West in the briefing title game.
While Wisconsin has the atomic number 82 in the division, the Badgers all the same have divisional games remaining confronting Nebraska and Minnesota over the next two weeks. Wisconsin also has the tiebreaker head-to-head victory over Iowa, which is second in the Due west. If Wisconsin wins out over its next ii games, the Westward will get to the Badgers. Merely if Iowa wins its terminal two over Illinois and Nebraska and Wisconsin loses a game, the Hawkeyes will go to Indianapolis.
Regardless of who ends upward representing the West, Ohio State will have to shell them to make it into the playoff with one loss. A loss in the conference championship game—which hasn't happened to the Buckeyes since 2013—would knock Ohio State out of the playoff.
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Source: https://bleacherreport.com/articles/2950551-college-football-playoff-2022-potential-disaster-scenarios-for-top-4-teams
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